![]() ![]() The worst-case scenario is that we don’t have a fair election-that Donald Trump or someone following Donald Trump’s playbook does something that is going to lead to some kind of situation where the loser is declared the winner of the election…. Law professor at University of California, Irvine If we all work hard together, it can happen. ![]() But we do have a model for doing that, and I do think it can work again. State officials had a critical part to play in that, since elections are national events that are resolved at the states, and we’re going to need all of them to do that again and to work even harder. I believe that if the bipartisan, voter-led, pro-democracy coalition that saved us in 2020 comes together again, that worst-case scenario can and will be avoided…. Senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and executive chair of the States United Democracy Center Trump’s political appointments-assuming GOP control of the Senate and continued GOP subservience to Trump-would make his subpar first-term appointees look like a team of George Kennans in contrast. There would also be a wholesale purge of civil servants in national security bureaucracies-essentially what happened at the State Department under Pompeo, but on steroids. Withdrawal from the World Trade Organization would also happen. withdrawals from NATO and security agreements with Japan and South Korea for starters. So if Trump wins in 2024, I would anticipate that he would pursue his foreign policy vision in an unconstrained manner. By the end, however, he had begun to realize the power of personnel moves and executive action, particularly in foreign policy. It took Trump almost all of his four years to figure out just how some of the levers of government worked. Professor at the Fletcher School at Tufts University It’s just the fragility of our democracy now, because a lot of the states whose leadership is denying that the last election has been fair and denying that Joe Biden is president, these folks are now trying to take measures that, should the same events happen next time, they’re there to try to strip the rightful winner of office because they just want it to be Donald Trump, no matter what. And so what my worry is, is that the election comes and because of those anti-democratic changes or those voting rights changes, that we have real disagreements … that we end up having politicians making the decisions as opposed to people that are really independent…. I’m concerned about all the steps that are being taken that are removing the safeguards that we had in the last election. The most pressing and basic political question confronting our country right now is probably this simple one: What if Donald Trump wins the election in 2024? Either by fair means or foul, what if he ends up again in the White House? What will happen in this country? We asked a number of people from both parties and across different disciplines to tell us what we might expect. ![]()
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